Measuring global credibility with application to local sequence alignment.
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Because sequence alignment is arguably the most extensively used procedure in computational biology, we employ it here to make these general concepts more concrete.The maximum similarity estimator (i.e., the alignment that maximizes the likelihood) and the centroid estimator (i.e., the alignment that minimizes the mean Hamming distance from the posterior weighted ensemble of alignments) are used to demonstrate the application of Bayesian credibility limits to alignment estimators.Application of Bayesian credibility limits to the alignment of 20 human/rodent orthologous sequence pairs and 125 orthologous sequence pairs from six Shewanella species shows that credibility limits of the alignments of promoter sequences of these species vary widely, and that centroid alignments dependably have tighter credibility limits than traditional maximum similarity alignments.
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PubMed Central - PubMed
Affiliation: Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington, United States of America. bj@pnl.gov
ABSTRACT
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Computational biology is replete with high-dimensional (high-D) discrete prediction and inference problems, including sequence alignment, RNA structure prediction, phylogenetic inference, motif finding, prediction of pathways, and model selection problems in statistical genetics. Even though prediction and inference in these settings are uncertain, little attention has been focused on the development of global measures of uncertainty. Regardless of the procedure employed to produce a prediction, when a procedure delivers a single answer, that answer is a point estimate selected from the solution ensemble, the set of all possible solutions. For high-D discrete space, these ensembles are immense, and thus there is considerable uncertainty. We recommend the use of Bayesian credibility limits to describe this uncertainty, where a (1-alpha)%, 0< or =alpha< or =1, credibility limit is the minimum Hamming distance radius of a hyper-sphere containing (1-alpha)% of the posterior distribution. Because sequence alignment is arguably the most extensively used procedure in computational biology, we employ it here to make these general concepts more concrete. The maximum similarity estimator (i.e., the alignment that maximizes the likelihood) and the centroid estimator (i.e., the alignment that minimizes the mean Hamming distance from the posterior weighted ensemble of alignments) are used to demonstrate the application of Bayesian credibility limits to alignment estimators. Application of Bayesian credibility limits to the alignment of 20 human/rodent orthologous sequence pairs and 125 orthologous sequence pairs from six Shewanella species shows that credibility limits of the alignments of promoter sequences of these species vary widely, and that centroid alignments dependably have tighter credibility limits than traditional maximum similarity alignments. Related in: MedlinePlus |
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Mentions: The ND95 values associated with the 20 highly conserved gene sequences are represented as green circles. The sequence alignments that represent alignment of random, un-related, sequences are represented as black triangles. In blue squares are the ND95 values for the intergenic sequences upstream of the coding genes. The four example alignment ND distributions displayed in Figure 2 are indicated by a letter next to the corresponding square. |
View Article: PubMed Central - PubMed
Affiliation: Computational Biology and Bioinformatics, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, Washington, United States of America. bj@pnl.gov